Hard Drive Stocks Are Surging. These Analysts Think the Good Times Can Continue

North America
Source: InvestopediaPublished: 09/29/2025, 16:12:01 EDT
Western Digital
Seagate Technology
Morgan Stanley
Data Storage
Artificial Intelligence
Analyst Ratings
Sam Altman CEO of OpenAI, sitting on a podium with OpenAI sign behind him

News Summary

Morgan Stanley analysts have raised their price targets and forecasts for hard drive makers Western Digital (WDC) and Seagate Technology (STX), citing AI-driven demand trends. The analysts anticipate "stronger for longer" demand driven by cloud infrastructure spending and growing data retention needs to support artificial intelligence (AI).

Background

In 2025, the data storage industry is experiencing robust growth, primarily influenced by the rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) technologies. AI model training and inference demand significant data storage capacity and speed, stimulating demand for both Hard Disk Drives (HDDs) and Solid State Drives (SSDs). Cloud infrastructure providers continue to invest heavily in data center construction to support escalating enterprise and consumer data processing needs, much of which requires long-term storage. This backdrop provides a favorable market environment for data storage hardware manufacturers.

In-Depth AI Insights

Do these analyst upgrades solely reflect fundamental drivers, or is there a component of market sentiment at play? - Morgan Stanley's significant price target hikes and designating Western Digital as a "top pick" suggest a belief in substantial fundamental drivers from AI and cloud infrastructure spending. - However, given that both stocks have already more than doubled in 2025, the "top pick" status for WDC after recent management discussions could also reflect a strong market embrace of the AI narrative. Analyst reports can sometimes amplify existing trends, especially when management signals optimism, potentially contributing to stock momentum. What are the potential risks to the "stronger for longer" demand thesis? - While AI demand is robust, the data storage market remains cyclical. A broader economic slowdown or a contraction in enterprise IT spending could lead to demand falling short of elevated expectations. - Changes in the competitive landscape, such as further cost reductions in Solid State Drives (SSDs) or the emergence of new storage technologies, could erode traditional HDD market share, particularly in performance-critical scenarios. - Furthermore, supply chain disruptions or rising raw material costs could impact HDD manufacturers' profitability. The Trump administration's trade policies or tech export controls, while not directly targeting storage hardware currently, remain a macro risk. How does this news impact the competitive dynamics within the data storage industry? - This analysis primarily benefits traditional Hard Disk Drive (HDD) manufacturers like Western Digital and Seagate, highlighting AI's continued need for high-capacity, cost-effective data storage, which is typically where HDDs excel. - While AI also drives demand for high-performance flash storage (NAND/SSD), the article's emphasis on "data retention needs" often points to economical bulk storage for cold or warm data, solidifying HDDs' position in this specific segment alongside high-performance flash.