BYD cuts 2025 sales target amid slowing growth: report

Greater China
Source: InvezzPublished: 09/04/2025, 07:40:00 EDT
BYD
Electric Vehicles
China Auto Market
Sales Forecast
Market Competition
BYD Car sales

News Summary

BYD has lowered its 2025 sales target by as much as 16% to 4.6 million vehicles, down from its initial 5.5 million goal. This revised target reflects the company's slowest annual growth in five years and signals a potential end to its era of record-breaking expansion, driven by intensifying market competition and weakening domestic demand in China. The new sales forecast is below several recently lowered analyst estimates, and BYD's Hong Kong-listed shares fell further following the report. This downward revision follows a 30% drop in BYD's quarterly profit last week, its first decline in over three years. As of the first eight months of this year, BYD had only met 52% of its original 5.5 million vehicle target, and its production has contracted for two consecutive months through August, the first such decline since 2020. The report highlights intensifying competition from rivals like Geely Auto and Leapmotor, noting that BYD's sales of economy cars priced under 150,000 yuan fell 9.6% year-on-year in July, while Geely's sales in the same segment surged 90%.

Background

Over the past four years, BYD transformed from an EV upstart into a global leader by producing much of its output in-house, which helped it control costs while introducing new features. Its sales of pure EVs and plug-in hybrids grew tenfold between 2020 and 2024, reaching 4.3 million vehicles, placing it alongside General Motors and Ford in global sales. China accounts for nearly 80% of BYD's sales, making it the company's core growth market. However, China is currently experiencing broader deflationary pressures, with a prolonged housing downturn weighing on domestic demand. Media reports from June previously suggested that BYD had slowed production and delayed capacity expansion at its Chinese factories.

In-Depth AI Insights

What deeper implications does BYD's revised sales target hold for the broader EV market dynamics in China and globally, beyond just company-specific challenges? - This signifies that China's hyper-growth phase for EVs has hit a plateau, with intensified competition leading to price wars and margin pressure. - Declining sales in the economy car segment (a former BYD strength) and strong growth from rivals suggest the market is shifting from pure volume pursuit to higher demands for brand, technology, and differentiation. - Given China is the world's largest EV market, its slowdown could foreshadow a global moderation in EV demand growth, posing challenges for global supply chains and overseas brands reliant on the Chinese market. How might BYD's strategic response to slowing domestic growth impact its international expansion, particularly in light of current US (Trump administration) and EU trade policies? - Domestic market pressure will compel BYD to accelerate and deepen its overseas expansion, seeking new growth drivers, potentially through more aggressive pricing strategies to gain market share. - However, this could escalate friction with the Trump administration's