Google dodges forced selloff of Chrome browser in landmark antitrust case — sparking furor at slap on wrist

North America
Source: New York PostPublished: 09/02/2025, 19:45:01 EDT
Google
Antitrust
Big Tech
Judicial Ruling
Digital Advertising
US District Judge Amit Mehta i

News Summary

US District Judge Amit Mehta rejected the Justice Department's request for Google to divest its Chrome browser or Android operating system, ruling that these key assets were not used by Google to effect illegal restraints. This decision marks a significant victory for Google in its five-year landmark antitrust lawsuit. The judge opted for lighter remedies, ordering Google to share its search data with rivals to boost competition and barring it from entering exclusive internet search deals. However, Google will still be permitted to make payments to partners like Apple and AT&T to ensure its search engine remains the default option on most smartphones, as a broad ban on such payments could cause "crippling harms" to distributors and related markets. Following the ruling, Google's stock surged more than 6% in after-hours trading. Despite this, antitrust advocates, including Matt Stoller and Nidhi Hegde, expressed strong furor over Mehta's decision, calling it a "big whiff" and a "complete failure," urging the DOJ to appeal.

Background

This landmark antitrust case against Google was initiated by the U.S. Justice Department in 2020, accusing Google of unlawfully maintaining its search engine monopoly through its market dominance. It was considered the most consequential Big Tech antitrust case in decades, aiming to challenge Google's stronghold in digital advertising and search markets. A central argument of the DOJ was that Google stifled competition through exclusive deals and default setting payments. Judge Mehta had already ruled in 2023 that Google held a monopoly. The trial was split into two phases: the first determining if Google was a monopolist, and the second (the subject of this ruling) addressing remedies. The DOJ had sought to break up Google, specifically demanding the divestiture of its Chrome browser and Android operating system, while Google argued that such forced selloffs would break its business and potentially threaten U.S. national security.

In-Depth AI Insights

What does this ruling signify for the future of antitrust enforcement in the US? - Challenges to Aggressive Enforcement: While the Trump administration initiated this case in 2020, the federal judge's 2025 ruling indicates that even after finding a monopoly, the judiciary remains highly cautious about mandating the forced breakup of tech giants. This suggests that future US antitrust enforcement in the technology sector, especially for complex and highly integrated platform companies, will likely prioritize behavioral remedies over structural divestitures. Despite political will, significant judicial resistance to breakups persists. - Judicial Independence and Market Stability: The court's refusal to force the divestiture of Chrome and Android was partly to avoid "crippling harms" to the market and consumers. This reflects the judiciary's inherent consideration of balancing antitrust goals with economic stability and innovation. For investors, this implies that even under intense antitrust scrutiny, the risk of core US tech giants being "dismembered" in the short term remains relatively low due to their market impact and ecosystem depth. Has Google's long-term competitive advantage been solidified by this decision? - Core Business Model Preserved: The ruling allows Google to continue paying to maintain its default search engine status, essentially protecting its most critical revenue stream and user traffic funnel. While it must share search data and is barred from exclusive agreements, these measures may not significantly erode Google's moat in the short term, especially given its strong brand and technological advantages. - Regulatory Arbitrage and Adaptive Iteration: Google will have time to adapt to the new regulatory environment, potentially offsetting some restrictions through product innovation and optimization. For investors, this reinforces Google's status as a "quasi-public utility." While its long-term growth trajectory might face moderate constraints, its market dominance and profit margins are likely to remain relatively stable. What are the implications for overall sentiment towards US tech stocks? - Uncertainty Released, Boosting Market Confidence: Google avoiding the harshest structural breakup removes a significant tail risk for the entire tech sector. Previously, the market feared that a Google breakup could set a precedent for other tech giants (e.g., Meta, Amazon, Apple), triggering a domino effect. This ruling alleviates those concerns, providing a short-term boost to overall tech stock sentiment, especially within the current Trump administration's relatively pro-business environment. - Long-Term and Normalized Regulatory Pressure: While this ruling favors Google, it does not signal the end of antitrust pressure. Judge Mehta explicitly stated that the court could revisit its decision if the remedies prove ineffective. This means regulators and courts will continue to closely monitor tech giants' market behavior. Investors should recognize that antitrust scrutiny of tech giants has become normalized, and their expansion and M&A strategies will face ongoing review, potentially capping future valuation multiples.